The State of Long Island Real Estate
One quarter of verified numbers for Suffolk and Nassau, what they actually mean for a seller and a buyer, and three scenarios for the next three months. Every figure names its source. Nothing here is a prediction dressed as a fact.
The typical Suffolk County home sold for this in 2026-05, up 2.7 percent against the same month a year ago, and it took 27 days to find its buyer.
Where the market stands
Suffolk County
Nassau County
The towns I work
Verified town level numbers, updated monthly from market reports rather than estimated.
Last quarter’s call, graded
This is issue one, so there is no earlier forecast to mark. From the next issue on, every scenario published here gets shown again beside what actually happened, and marked. A forecast nobody grades is not a forecast, it is advertising.
The next three months
Three scenarios, never one number. These are arithmetic, not opinion: each county’s own trailing twelve month pace carried forward a quarter, at half that pace, at it, and at one and a half times it.
Suffolk County
The pace halves.
The pace holds.
The pace steepens by half.
Nassau County
The pace halves.
The pace holds.
The pace steepens by half.
Method and sources
County figures come from the Redfin Data Center market tracker, All
Residential, passed through exactly as published and refreshed monthly.
Latest complete month is 2026-05; this file was last refreshed 2026-08-05.
Town figures come from market reports pulled by hand and verified before
publishing. A town with no verified number is left out rather than estimated.
The scenarios are the trailing twelve month change divided by four and
applied forward one quarter at three multiples. They are a way of framing a
range, not a forecast of any single home’s price.
What is not here. Nothing in this report values a specific house. A median
moves because the mix of homes that sold changed, not only because values
changed.